How much revenue did Deck of Ashes make?

$146k–$392k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Deck of Ashes sell?

Q: How many copies did Deck of Ashes sell?

27k to 43k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 27k–43k; $146k–$392k after Steam's cut $265k–$603k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deck of Ashes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deck of Ashes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 443k–1.7M

best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)

Games like Deck of Ashes

A typical game among these

≈ 443k–1.7M copies

≈ $3.6M–$14.3M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Card Game (5 of 8) and Card Battler (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Slay the Spire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.3M 9.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	220k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Library Of Ruina 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.2M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Very Positive	Story RichCard Game
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Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
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Dicey Dungeons 2019	Est. copies ≈ 343k–558k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
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