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How many copies did Giant Bear Rampage! ☢️🐻 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 40 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Giant Bear Rampage! ☢️🐻 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Giant Bear Rampage! ☢️🐻's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–10.3M
best case 105.1M (Garry's Mod)
Games like Giant Bear Rampage! ☢️🐻

A typical game among these

≈ 3.3M–10.3M copies

≈ $29.1M–$155.9M after Steam's cut

from ~105k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 80.0M–130.1M copies, ≈ $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 38k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 122k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (6 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Moddable, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Scrap Mechanic
2026
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut
$28.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingSandbox
Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.8M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
SnowRunner
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics

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