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How many copies did DRAGON QUEST BUILDERS™ 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 233k–379k
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.3M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DRAGON QUEST BUILDERS™ 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DRAGON QUEST BUILDERS™ 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.0M–5.6M
best case 129.3M (Terraria)
Games like DRAGON QUEST BUILDERS™ 2

A typical game among these

≈ 5.0M–5.6M copies

≈ $39.2M–$64.0M after Steam's cut

from ~129k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Terraria at ≈ 98.5M–160.1M copies, ≈ $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World Survival Craft (8 of 8) and Survival (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Crafting + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 98.5M–160.1M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.6M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
ASTRONEER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
139k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Conan Exiles Enhanced
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$39.3M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.5M–$162.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
118k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Space Engineers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.3M–$57.3M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
135k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSandbox
Starbound
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.9M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.