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How big is Noara: The Conspiracy?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 3k–5k
from 130 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Noara: The Conspiracy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Noara: The Conspiracy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 895–22k
best case 159k (Low Magic Age)
Games like Noara: The Conspiracy

A typical game among these

≈ 895–22k copies

≈ $10k–$202k after Steam's cut

from ~119 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Low Magic Age at ≈ 121k–197k copies, ≈ $500k–$1.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 28 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 223.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based (6 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeons & Dragons + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $15.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Low Magic Age
2017
Est. copies
≈ 121k–197k
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$500k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $910k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessDungeons & Dragons
Rime Berta
2014
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut
$14.99
142 reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based TacticsTactical RPG
Regalia: Of Men and Monarchs
2017
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$110k–$295k after Steam's cut $199k–$454k before Steam's cut
$19.99
580 reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGTurn-Based Combat
Hopeless Dregs
2021
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10 reviews
Mixed
Endless RPG - Untold Tales
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
$12.99
95 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessTactical RPG
Zoria: Age of Shattering
2024
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$451k before Steam's cut
$24.99
640 reviews
Mostly Positive
SingleplayerExploration
Tower of Spirit
2024
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$987–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
29 reviews
Positive
Hand-drawnTurn-Based
Artifice: War Tactics
2024
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$14.99
23 reviews
Mixed

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