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How many copies did Flippin Kaktus sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Flippin Kaktus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Flippin Kaktus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 16k–29k
best case 144k (HUNTDOWN)
Games like Flippin Kaktus

A typical game among these

≈ 16k–29k copies

≈ $66k–$138k after Steam's cut

from ~559 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: HUNTDOWN at ≈ 110k–179k copies, ≈ $604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 214 reviews in their first month; the range was 95 to 471.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Arcade (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Side Scroller + Shooter, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Shooter + Local Co-Op + Cyberpunk; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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HUNTDOWN
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7.9x vs typical
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ActionIndie

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