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How many copies did Curse of the Dead Gods sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 229k–373k
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Curse of the Dead Gods and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Curse of the Dead Gods's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 819k–3.9M
best case 10.1M (Hades)
Games like Curse of the Dead Gods

A typical game among these

≈ 819k–3.9M copies

≈ $6.8M–$35.3M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Hades at ≈ 7.7M–12.5M copies, ≈ $52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (4 of 4) and Rogue-like (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 4 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
7.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Wizard of Legend
2018
Est. copies
≈ 641k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$15.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikePixel Graphics
Ravenswatch
2024
Est. copies
≈ 574k–933k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Mostly Positive

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