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How many copies did Crash Time 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 157k–255k
$215k–$579k after Steam's cut $391k–$890k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Crash Time 2 and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Crash Time 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–272k
best case 1.1M (Need for Speed™ Payback)
Games like Crash Time 2

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–272k copies

≈ $22k–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~250 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 4 similar games is a hit.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Need for Speed™ Payback at ≈ 806k–1.3M copies, ≈ $6.6M–$17.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 92 reviews in their first month; the range was 38 to 267.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Combat Racing (4 of 4) and Racing (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World, priced around $30.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Need for Speed™ Payback
2020
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
130x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.6M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Bloody Rally Show
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41k–$110k after Steam's cut $74k–$169k before Steam's cut
$19.99
299 reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingRogue-lite
Concept Destruction
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$4.99
184 reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingRacing
SimplePlanes VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before Steam's cut
$9.99
200 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.