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How many copies did Knight Swap sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 149 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Knight Swap and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Knight Swap's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 879–3k
best case 5k (Chess Brain)
Games like Knight Swap

A typical game among these

≈ 879–3k copies

≈ $883–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~40 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Chess Brain at ≈ 4k–7k copies, ≈ $1k–$3k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 24.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Sokoban (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sokoban + Chess, priced around $1.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Chess Brain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$0.99
164 reviews
Very Positive
SokobanChess
Unlock The King 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$513–$1k after Steam's cut $933–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
76 reviews
Mostly Positive
SokobanDifficult
Unlock The King 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$851–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$0.99
126 reviews
Mostly Positive
SokobanFuturistic
SokoChess
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$4.99
45 reviews
Positive
ChessSokoban
Chesskoban Bishop
2021
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$237–$636 after Steam's cut $430–$978 before Steam's cut
$0.99
35 reviews
Positive
ChessSokoban
Chess Dungeons
2022
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$9.99
24 reviews
Mostly Positive
SokoChess White
2023
Est. copies
≈ 694–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
28 reviews
Positive
PuzzleChess
SokoChess Black
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$375–$1k after Steam's cut $681–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
11 reviews
Positive
StrategyPuzzle

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