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How many copies did Songs of Syx sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 235k–382k
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Songs of Syx and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Songs of Syx's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.9M
best case 9.9M (RimWorld)
Games like Songs of Syx

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.9M copies

≈ $20.5M–$41.9M after Steam's cut

from ~52k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 29k reviews in their first month; the range was 19k to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Base-Building (6 of 8) and Building (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Survival + Sandbox; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

They Are Billions
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingColony Sim
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
249k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Prison Architect
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$31.0M–$83.3M after Steam's cut $56.3M–$128.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding
Timberborn
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.9M after Steam's cut $18.2M–$41.4M before Steam's cut
$34.99
42k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
City BuilderVoxel
Medieval Dynasty
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
CraftingBuilding
Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder

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