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How many copies did Umurangi Generation sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 30k–49k
$125k–$336k after Steam's cut $227k–$517k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Umurangi Generation and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Umurangi Generation's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 846–2k
best case 45k (Passpartout 2: The Lost Artist)
Games like Umurangi Generation

A typical game among these

≈ 846–2k copies

≈ $4k–$6k after Steam's cut

from ~28 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Passpartout 2: The Lost Artist at ≈ 34k–55k copies, ≈ $234k–$629k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 417.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Photo Editing (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Exploration, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Singleplayer + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Photo EditingUtilities
HAELE 3D - Hand Poses Lite - Drawing References
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