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How many copies did PuzzleQuest: Challenge of the Warlords sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 71k–116k
$196k–$528k after Steam's cut $357k–$812k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PuzzleQuest: Challenge of the Warlords and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PuzzleQuest: Challenge of the Warlords's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 189k–650k
best case 3.3M (Mirror)
Games like PuzzleQuest: Challenge of the Warlords

A typical game among these

≈ 189k–650k copies

≈ $866k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (7 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Nudity + Mature, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Nudity + Mature + Sexual Content; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
Miss Neko 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$98k–$263k after Steam's cut $178k–$404k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Hell Girls
2017
Est. copies
≈ 135k–219k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentAnime
Zuma Deluxe
2006
Est. copies
≈ 433k–703k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Bejeweled® 3
2010
Est. copies
≈ 516k–838k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
The Legend of Bum-Bo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$705k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-liteIndie
Gems of War - Puzzle RPG
2014
Est. copies
≈ 606k–984k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMatch 3

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.