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How many copies did Melvor Idle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 403k–656k
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Melvor Idle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Melvor Idle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15k–324k
best case 608k (Mr.Mine)
Games like Melvor Idle

A typical game among these

≈ 15k–324k copies

≈ $53k–$449k after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mr.Mine at ≈ 463k–752k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 820 reviews in their first month; the range was 45 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Idler (8 of 8) and Clicker (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Clicker.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mr.Mine
2020
Est. copies
≈ 463k–752k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
19k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerClicker
Idle Cave Miner
2023
Est. copies
≈ 31k–50k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerClicker
(the) Gnorp Apologue
2023
Est. copies
≈ 247k–401k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$475k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $863k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$6.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
Digseum
2024
Est. copies
≈ 202k–329k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$166k–$448k after Steam's cut $303k–$689k before Steam's cut
$2.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualClicker
Fidget Spinner RPG
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before Steam's cut
$3.99
233 reviews
Very Positive
CasualRPG
PickCrafter
2017
Est. copies
≈ 246k–400k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
MiningIdler
A Mining Game
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
234 reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayIndie
Moose Miners
2024
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$36k–$97k after Steam's cut $65k–$149k before Steam's cut
$9.99
527 reviews
Mixed
SimulationStrategy

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