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How many copies did Pinball Lockdown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 471–766
$776–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 19 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pinball Lockdown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pinball Lockdown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 339k–831k
best case 1.2M (Mountain)
Games like Pinball Lockdown

A typical game among these

≈ 339k–831k copies

≈ $408k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mountain at ≈ 912k–1.5M copies, ≈ $248k–$668k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 156 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle-Platformer (5 of 8) and Arcade (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + God Game, priced around $1.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Yoku's Island Express
2018
Est. copies
≈ 162k–264k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$892k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PinballMetroidvania
Defy Gravity Extended
2016
Est. copies
≈ 355k–576k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$194k–$522k after Steam's cut $353k–$803k before Steam's cut
$1.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Grove flowers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 230–374
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$379–$1k after Steam's cut $689–$2k before Steam's cut
$5.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
CasualIndie
Pinball Spire
2024
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$252k before Steam's cut
$14.99
596 reviews
Very Positive
PinballExploration
Zeke's Peak
2019
Est. copies
≈ 749–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$8.99
26 reviews
Positive
Precision PlatformerPuzzle-Platformer
RagDoll MadDoll
2020
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut
$4.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
ActionAdventure
Roxy Raccoon 2: Topsy-Turvy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
16 reviews
Positive
PhysicsSandbox

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