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How many copies did Hylics 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 89k–144k
$366k–$984k after Steam's cut $665k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hylics 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hylics 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 383–1k
best case 585k (Hylics)
Games like Hylics 2

A typical game among these

≈ 383–1k copies

≈ $1k–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~19 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hylics at ≈ 446k–724k copies, ≈ $366k–$985k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 976 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Psychedelic (7 of 8) and Surreal (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Surreal + Psychedelic, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Atmospheric + Surreal + Card Battler; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

CESSPOOL
2022
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $990–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
20 reviews
Positive
RPGCRPG
Out Of Hands
2025
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
83x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$188k–$505k after Steam's cut $342k–$777k before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SurrealCard Battler
Hylics
2015
Est. copies
≈ 446k–724k
494x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$366k–$985k after Steam's cut $666k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$2.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SurrealIndie
Entogious
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$9.99
42 reviews
Positive
PsychedelicCombat
Candice DeBébé's Tantalising Tricks
2022
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$613–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$8.99
10 reviews
Positive
JRPGTurn-Based Combat
Lost Surreal Hell
2024
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $296–$674 before Steam's cut
$2.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
DarkRPG
Exorcist: Reviewer of Minds
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$5.99
63 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationPoint & Click
Mythic Mire
2025
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
17 reviews
Positive
Party-Based RPGTurn-Based Combat

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.