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How many copies did CHRONOSHOT sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–17k
from 417 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CHRONOSHOT and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CHRONOSHOT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27k–101k
best case 457k (Sonic CD)
Games like CHRONOSHOT

A typical game among these

≈ 27k–101k copies

≈ $172k–$482k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Arena Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Sonic CD at ≈ 348k–566k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 530 reviews in their first month; the range was 28 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arena Shooter (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Classic.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Time Survivors
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Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut
$4.99
283 reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Sonic CD
2012
Est. copies
≈ 348k–566k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerClassic
Space Battle Royale
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
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78 reviews
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Massively MultiplayerBattle Royale
HYPER DEMON
2022
Est. copies
≈ 84k–136k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$345k–$928k after Steam's cut $628k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter
Neon Ships: The Type'em Up Shooter
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$4.99
51 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpTyping
Quantum League
2021
Est. copies
≈ 56k–91k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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2k reviews
Mostly Positive
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Quantum League - Free Open Beta
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≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Lemnis Gate
2021
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
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Free
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Very Positive
Arena ShooterFPS

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.