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How many copies did BlackJack Math sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$662–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 98 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BlackJack Math and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BlackJack Math's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k
best case 9k (Sexy Jigsaw | 性感拼图 | 섹시 퍼즐 | セクシーなパズル)
Games like BlackJack Math

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $752–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~43 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sexy Jigsaw | 性感拼图 | 섹시 퍼즐 | セクシーなパズル at ≈ 7k–12k copies, ≈ $8k–$21k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 45.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Card Game (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $4. The breakout hits carry Strategy + NSFW + Anime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sexy Jigsaw | 性感拼图 | 섹시 퍼즐 | セクシーなパズル
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
$3.99
235 reviews
Very Positive
NSFWSexual Content
Invisible Services - Pixel Art Jigsaw Puzzle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$155–$417 after Steam's cut $282–$642 before Steam's cut
$0.99
23 reviews
Positive
CasualPuzzle
Late photographer 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
37 reviews
Mixed
Female ProtagonistSexual Content
Happy Poker
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$4.99
60 reviews
Very Positive
Creature Card Idle
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
175 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIdler
Poker Hands
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$324–$871 after Steam's cut $589–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
48 reviews
Mixed
CasualTrading Card Game
Zombie Solitaire 2 Chapter 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$8.99
73 reviews
Very Positive
SolitaireCasual
Solitaire - Cat Pirate Portrait
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$659–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$1.99
35 reviews
Mixed
Trading Card GameSolitaire

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