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How many copies did Cobots sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 570–927
$782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 23 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cobots and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Cobots's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–5k
best case 7k (Fate of Kai)
Games like Cobots

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–5k copies

≈ $4k–$12k after Steam's cut

from ~52 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 3 similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Fate of Kai at ≈ 6k–9k copies, ≈ $11k–$29k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 41 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 88.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (3 of 3) and First-Person (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Visual Novel, priced around $7.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 3 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Timeworks
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$4.99
52 reviews
Very Positive
Time ManagementTime Travel
Let It Go - How to realize your dreams
2020
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$9.99
30 reviews
Positive
IndieSingleplayer
Fate of Kai
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$6.99
227 reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.