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How big is Ring of Fire: Prologue?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 694–1k
from 28 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ring of Fire: Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ring of Fire: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 830–1k
best case 52k (My Lovely Daughter)
Games like Ring of Fire: Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 830–1k copies

≈ $2k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~26 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: My Lovely Daughter at ≈ 40k–65k copies, ≈ $165k–$442k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 46 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 121.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Villain Protagonist (7 of 8) and Choices Matter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Villain Protagonist, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Multiple Endings; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Academy for Future Villains
2017
Est. copies
≈ 894–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$5.99
26 reviews
Mixed
IndieAdventure
Fallen Hero: Rebirth
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
18x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28k–$75k after Steam's cut $50k–$115k before Steam's cut
$6.99
475 reviews
Very Positive
Text-BasedIndie
The Advisor - Episode 1: Royal Pain
2021
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut
$2.99
605 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureRPG
Demonheart
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
29x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$144k–$386k after Steam's cut $261k–$594k before Steam's cut
$19.99
759 reviews
Very Positive
LGBTQ+Visual Novel
Demonheart: Hunters
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$41k–$110k after Steam's cut $74k–$169k before Steam's cut
$19.99
299 reviews
Very Positive
RPGLGBTQ+
Marry a Deep One: Innsmouth Simulator
2024
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$17.99
33 reviews
Mixed
SimulationVillain Protagonist
My Lovely Daughter
2018
Est. copies
≈ 40k–65k
51x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$165k–$442k after Steam's cut $299k–$681k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Interactive FictionVisual Novel
Descent of the Hunted
2024
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$735–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$5.99
18 reviews
Positive

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