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How many copies did Ragnar's Chinese Memory Game sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 868–1k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 35 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ragnar's Chinese Memory Game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ragnar's Chinese Memory Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 627–3k
best case 17k (Evolution Board Game)
Games like Ragnar's Chinese Memory Game

A typical game among these

≈ 627–3k copies

≈ $781–$30k after Steam's cut

from ~29 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Evolution Board Game at ≈ 13k–21k copies, ≈ $53k–$144k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 45.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (6 of 8) and Card Game (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game + Tabletop, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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StrategyBoard Game
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16x vs typical
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Comrades and Barons: Solitaire of Bloody 1919
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SolitaireWorld War I
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EducationTrading Card Game
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Strategy4X

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