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How many copies did Swordian Hero sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$272–$735 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Swordian Hero and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Swordian Hero's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 545–16k
best case 758k (Tribes of Midgard)
Games like Swordian Hero

A typical game among these

≈ 545–16k copies

≈ $2k–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~25 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Exploration (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Tribes of Midgard at ≈ 577k–938k copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 8k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (3 of 8) and Action Roguelike (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Action RPG, priced around $20.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Naginata
2020
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$7.99
31 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Tribes of Midgard
2021
Est. copies
≈ 577k–938k
931x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open World Survival CraftOnline Co-Op
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≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
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Spellz: Mastery or Death
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Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$886–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$12.99
10 reviews
Positive
Early AccessSouls-like
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Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
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$2.99
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Hero of Not Our Time
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$0.99
158 reviews
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CasualAction
Shonen Adventure : The Dual Blades Hero
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Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
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Positive
RPGFantasy
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≈ 36k–59k
50x vs typical
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