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How many copies did Mosaique Neko Waifus 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 51k–83k
$70k–$189k after Steam's cut $128k–$290k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mosaique Neko Waifus 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mosaique Neko Waifus 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 173k–273k
best case 4.2M (Helltaker)
Games like Mosaique Neko Waifus 3

A typical game among these

≈ 173k–273k copies

≈ $63k–$280k after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Helltaker at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 480 to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sexual Content (7 of 8) and Hentai (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + Sexual Content, priced around $2. The breakout hits carry Anime + Free to Play + Cute; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Helltaker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
Pretty Angel
2019
Est. copies
≈ 102k–165k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$28k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$114k before Steam's cut
$0.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentCasual
Bad Rats: the Rats' Revenge
2009
Est. copies
≈ 937k–1.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$513k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $932k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Cult ClassicPhysics
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Swaying Girl
2020
Est. copies
≈ 126k–205k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut
$0.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentMature
Yokai's Secret
2020
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$94k–$252k after Steam's cut $170k–$387k before Steam's cut
$1.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Lost
2019
Est. copies
≈ 221k–358k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$152k–$408k after Steam's cut $276k–$627k before Steam's cut
$2.50
8k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Seek Girl
2019
Est. copies
≈ 149k–242k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.