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How many copies did Actraiser Renaissance sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–32k
$160k–$430k after Steam's cut $291k–$662k before Steam's cut
from 782 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Actraiser Renaissance and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Actraiser Renaissance's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 256k–332k
best case 339k (Chinese Online Game)
Games like Actraiser Renaissance

A typical game among these

≈ 256k–332k copies

≈ $1.1M–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 2D Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Chinese Online Game at ≈ 258k–419k copies, ≈ $709k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 5k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (4 of 8) and Action RPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with CRPG + Action Roguelike, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2024
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
$199.99
21 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
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Action Roguelike2D Platformer
Hidden Harbor Top-Down 3D
2022
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≈ 546–887
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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$30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$124k before Steam's cut
$199.99
22 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Regions Of Ruin
2018
Est. copies
≈ 141k–230k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$466k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $848k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$11.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Hidden Build Top-Down 3D
2022
Est. copies
≈ 967–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$220k before Steam's cut
$199.99
39 reviews
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Side ScrollerTactical RPG
Hidden Floating City Top-Down 3D
2022
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$152k before Steam's cut
$199.99
27 reviews
Mixed
ActionCasual
Chinese Online Game
2024
Est. copies
≈ 258k–419k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$709k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGAction Roguelike
COINS BATTLE
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Est. copies
≈ 570–927
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
$199.99
23 reviews
Negative
Action RoguelikeCard Battler

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