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How many copies did WAVER: A Typing Adventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$170–$459 after Steam's cut $309–$706 before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WAVER: A Typing Adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WAVER: A Typing Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–391k
best case 775k (Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+)
Games like WAVER: A Typing Adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–391k copies

≈ $3k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~92 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+ at ≈ 590k–959k copies, ≈ $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 3k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Rhythm (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Anime, priced around $39.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

AudioSurf
2008
Est. copies
≈ 702k–1.1M
121x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MusicRhythm
Rhythmic Keyboard
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $75–$168 before Steam's cut
$5.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
RhythmCasual
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+
2022
Est. copies
≈ 590k–959k
260x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut
$39.39
24k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAnime
De-coding Armageddon
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27–$73 after Steam's cut $49–$112 before Steam's cut
$0.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
ActionArcade
Chimpology
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$1.99
123 reviews
Very Positive
TypingArcade
Intralism
2016
Est. copies
≈ 201k–326k
53x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$165k–$444k after Steam's cut $300k–$682k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Hacker's Beat
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut
$9.99
60 reviews
Mixed
TypingRhythm
Typing Tempo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$4.99
55 reviews
Very Positive
RhythmTyping

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