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How many copies did Kandidatos sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 109k–177k
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kandidatos and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kandidatos's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 586–605
best case 3.1M (Gang Beasts)
Games like Kandidatos

A typical game among these

≈ 586–605 copies

≈ $696–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~18 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Gang Beasts at ≈ 2.3M–3.8M copies, ≈ $12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 10 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (8 of 8) and 2D Fighter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Local Multiplayer + Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gang Beasts
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
3756x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyPhysics
Street Fighter V
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
2457x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Mixed
FightingAction
Yang2020 Path To Presidency
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$2.99
133 reviews
Very Positive
ActionFighting
Afterbern Democralypse
2019
Est. copies
≈ 461–749
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16 reviews
Mixed
ActionViolent
MEIRIN IN FISTS OF FIRE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$381–$1k after Steam's cut $692–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
14 reviews
Positive
ActionFighting
Punch the Potus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 0
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
0 reviews
No user reviews
CasualPolitical
Critical Zone
2021
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$367–$986 after Steam's cut $667–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
18 reviews
Positive
Local Multiplayer4 Player Local
Political Punchers Parody Arena
2024
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$980–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$7.99
18 reviews
Positive
3D FighterMartial Arts

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