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How many copies did Happy's Humble Burger Farm sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 75k–122k
$412k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $749k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Happy's Humble Burger Farm and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Happy's Humble Burger Farm's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 46k–5.5M
best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Happy's Humble Burger Farm

A typical game among these

≈ 46k–5.5M copies

≈ $46k–$21.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 862 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 40k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (8 of 8) and Dark Humor (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
173x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Who's Your Daddy?!
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
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FunnyMultiplayer
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
285x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Unwelcome
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$6.99
68 reviews
Mostly Positive
ExplorationHidden Object
Finding Frankie
2024
Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$212k–$569k after Steam's cut $385k–$875k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorParkour
RATSHAKER™
2024
Est. copies
≈ 95k–155k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$78k–$211k after Steam's cut $142k–$324k before Steam's cut
$2.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Monument
2015
Est. copies
≈ 44k–72k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut
$1.99
903 reviews
Mostly Positive
Arena ShooterBoomer Shooter
The Indigo Parallel
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut
$12.99
281 reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsChoices Matter

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