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How many copies did BioCrisis sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 74 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BioCrisis and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BioCrisis's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 611–3k
best case 342k (The Typing of The Dead: Overkill)
Games like BioCrisis

A typical game among these

≈ 611–3k copies

≈ $2k–$9k after Steam's cut

from ~54 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Typing of The Dead: Overkill at ≈ 260k–423k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 727 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and On-Rails Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with On-Rails Shooter + Zombies, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Zombies + Typing + Comedy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

FREAKHUNTER
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$3.99
145 reviews
Very Positive
THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD: Remake
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74k–121k
55x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $928k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Mixed
ActionOn-Rails Shooter
The Typing of The Dead: Overkill
2013
Est. copies
≈ 260k–423k
76x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
TypingOn-Rails Shooter
Mystic Midway: Rest in Pieces
2020
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
ActionArcade
The Debug™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
81 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Dead Containment
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$19k before Steam's cut
$9.99
69 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction
Railbreak
2023
Est. copies
≈ 967–2k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$19.99
39 reviews
Mostly Positive
On-Rails ShooterFPS
Until The Last Bullet
2024
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
12 reviews
Mixed
ActionOn-Rails Shooter

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