How much revenue did Super Mega Baseball™ 4 make?

$513k–$1.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Super Mega Baseball™ 4 sell?

Q: How many copies did Super Mega Baseball™ 4 sell?

37k to 61k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 37k–61k; $513k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $932k–$2.1M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Super Mega Baseball™ 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Super Mega Baseball™ 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 41k–52k

best case 55k (Out of the Park Baseball 21)

Games like Super Mega Baseball™ 4

A typical game among these

≈ 41k–52k copies

≈ $314k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Out of the Park Baseball 21 at ≈ 42k–68k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Baseball (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sports + Baseball. The breakout hits carry Management + Strategy + Sandbox; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Out of the Park Baseball 19 2018	Est. copies ≈ 23k–37k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	745 reviews Very Positive	BaseballSports
Out of the Park Baseball 20 2019	Est. copies ≈ 31k–51k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Very Positive	SportsSimulation
Super Mega Baseball 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 32k–51k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Very Positive	SportsBaseball
Out of the Park Baseball 22 2021	Est. copies ≈ 42k–67k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	SportsBaseball
Out of the Park Baseball 17 2016	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	644 reviews Very Positive	SportsStrategy
Super Mega Baseball: Extra Innings 2015	Est. copies ≈ 48k–77k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $170k–$458k after Steam's cut $310k–$704k before Steam's cut	$12.99	977 reviews Very Positive	BaseballSports
Out of the Park Baseball 18 2017	Est. copies ≈ 23k–38k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	675 reviews Very Positive	BaseballSports
Out of the Park Baseball 21 2020	Est. copies ≈ 42k–68k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	SportsSimulation