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How many copies did [Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–19k
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut
from 463 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid [Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including [Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 521–10k
best case 5.3M (Content Warning)
Games like [Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護

A typical game among these

≈ 521–10k copies

≈ $533–$51k after Steam's cut

from ~25 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Content Warning at ≈ 4.1M–6.6M copies, ≈ $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 40 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 55k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Psychological Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op + Multiplayer + Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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