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How many copies did Mosaique Neko Waifus 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 118k–191k
$161k–$434k after Steam's cut $293k–$668k before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mosaique Neko Waifus 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mosaique Neko Waifus 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 292k–2.4M
best case 4.2M (Helltaker)
Games like Mosaique Neko Waifus 4

A typical game among these

≈ 292k–2.4M copies

≈ $263k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Helltaker at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 835 to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Sexual Content (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Demons + Puzzle.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Helltaker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
Yokai's Secret
2020
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$94k–$252k after Steam's cut $170k–$387k before Steam's cut
$1.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
Peggle Deluxe
2007
Est. copies
≈ 921k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualPuzzle
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ChessTime Travel
Lost
2019
Est. copies
≈ 221k–358k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$152k–$408k after Steam's cut $276k–$627k before Steam's cut
$2.50
8k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Shower With Your Dad Simulator 2015: Do You Still Shower With Your Dad
2015
Est. copies
≈ 490k–796k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$551k before Steam's cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Arcade2D

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.