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How many copies did My Friend Stalin sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–25k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
from 620 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid My Friend Stalin and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including My Friend Stalin's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 69k–325k
best case 346k (House of Detention)
Games like My Friend Stalin

A typical game among these

≈ 69k–325k copies

≈ $119k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: House of Detention at ≈ 264k–428k copies, ≈ $72k–$193k after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Politics (7 of 8) and Political (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dark Fantasy + Psychological Horror, priced around $1.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

House of Detention
2020
Est. copies
≈ 264k–428k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$72k–$193k after Steam's cut $130k–$297k before Steam's cut
$0.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Dark FantasyPsychological Horror
Democracy 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 459k–745k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Political SimSimulation
Mr.President!
2016
Est. copies
≈ 232k–377k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$637k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
MemesFunny
Make America Great Again: The Trump Presidency
2016
Est. copies
≈ 75k–122k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$62k–$167k after Steam's cut $113k–$256k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MemesPost-apocalyptic
The Political Machine 2016
2016
Est. copies
≈ 29k–48k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
706 reviews
Mostly Positive
Political SimSimulation
Democracy 4
2022
Est. copies
≈ 159k–258k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyPolitical Sim
Cat President ~A More Purrfect Union~
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$90k before Steam's cut
$8.99
212 reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
Someone Cloned The President
2019
Est. copies
≈ 115–187
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$31–$85 after Steam's cut $57–$130 before Steam's cut
$0.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Third-Person ShooterShooter

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