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How many copies did The Way Home sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$190–$511 after Steam's cut $345–$786 before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Way Home and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Way Home's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 505–3k
best case 210k (Fears to Fathom - Ironbark Lookout)
Games like The Way Home

A typical game among these

≈ 505–3k copies

≈ $715–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~45 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fears to Fathom - Ironbark Lookout at ≈ 160k–260k copies, ≈ $439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 1k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Psychological Horror (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Thriller + Atmospheric + Narrative; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fears to Fathom - Ironbark Lookout
2023
Est. copies
≈ 160k–260k
143x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $799k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Fears to Fathom - Norwood Hitchhike
2022
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
76x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$117k–$314k after Steam's cut $212k–$483k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ArcticBoy: The Interactive Story
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$804–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
119 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureDrama
Horror Drift (ホラードリフト)
2024
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$340–$915 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
10 reviews
Mixed
RacingDriving
Mystic Rest Stop
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$3.99
73 reviews
Mixed
HorrorAtmospheric
Night Bus
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
6.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
$4.99
275 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorIndie
Midnight Shift
2024
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$347–$932 after Steam's cut $631–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
17 reviews
Mostly Negative
Horror3D
Right Turn
2024
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$510–$1k after Steam's cut $928–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
15 reviews
Positive

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