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How many copies did 彷徨之街 The Street of Adrift sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 58k–94k
$191k–$514k after Steam's cut $348k–$791k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 彷徨之街 The Street of Adrift and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including 彷徨之街 The Street of Adrift's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–2.5M
best case 3.8M (Mirror 2: Project X)
Games like 彷徨之街 The Street of Adrift

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–2.5M copies

≈ $4.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Mirror 2: Project X at ≈ 2.9M–4.7M copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (3 of 4) and Story Rich (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Anime, priced around $2.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Life is Strange 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Mirror 2: Project X
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$1.99
116k reviews
Mostly Negative
3DMatch 3
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 982k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.