How much revenue did Kayak VR: Mirage make?

$165k–$443k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Kayak VR: Mirage sell?

Q: How many copies did Kayak VR: Mirage sell?

26k to 42k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 26k–42k; $165k–$443k after Steam's cut $300k–$682k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kayak VR: Mirage and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Kayak VR: Mirage's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–5.1M

best case 12.8M (Assetto Corsa)

Games like Kayak VR: Mirage

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–5.1M copies

≈ $21.3M–$63.8M after Steam's cut

from ~49k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Assetto Corsa at ≈ 9.8M–15.9M copies, ≈ $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Automobile Sim (4 of 4) and Driving (4 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $20.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DiRT Rally 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	40k reviews Very Positive	RacingSimulation
DiRT Rally 2.0 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	49k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Assetto Corsa Competizione 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	49k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim