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How many copies did CULTIC sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 218k–354k
$599k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CULTIC and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including CULTIC's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 266k–475k
best case 1.0M (DUSK)
Games like CULTIC

A typical game among these

≈ 266k–475k copies

≈ $2.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: DUSK at ≈ 778k–1.3M copies, ≈ $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Boomer Shooter (4 of 4) and FPS (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + FPS, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DUSK
2018
Est. copies
≈ 778k–1.3M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
Prodeus
2022
Est. copies
≈ 205k–333k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
Ion Fury
2019
Est. copies
≈ 196k–318k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
AMID EVIL
2019
Est. copies
≈ 224k–363k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Old SchoolBoomer Shooter

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