How much revenue did Need for Speed Undercover make?

Need for Speed Undercover is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Need for Speed Undercover sell?

Q: How many copies did Need for Speed Undercover sell?

506k to 823k copies, based on its 8k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 506k–823k; from 8k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Need for Speed Undercover and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Need for Speed Undercover's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.5M–42.9M

best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)

Games like Need for Speed Undercover

A typical game among these

≈ 7.5M–42.9M copies

≈ $59.5M–$156.0M after Steam's cut

from ~228k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Automobile Sim (4 of 4) and Driving (3 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Forza Horizon 5 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	282k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.7M–$28.8M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	57k reviews Very Positive	SimulationAutomobile Sim
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy 2015	Est. copies ≈ 101.5M–164.9M 9.1x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.1M reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction