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How many copies did Alien Vision sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alien Vision and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alien Vision's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.8M–22.7M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Alien Vision

A typical game among these

≈ 3.8M–22.7M copies

≈ $26.4M–$61.1M after Steam's cut

from ~105k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 15.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Utilities (8 of 8) and Design & Illustration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Movavi Photo Editor
2018
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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Free
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Gecata by Movavi 6 – Streaming and Game Recording Software
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut
$35.95
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Movavi Picverse - Photo Editing Software
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$91k before Steam's cut
$69.99
46 reviews
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UtilitiesDesign & Illustration
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
9.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Movavi Video Suite 2020 Steam Edition - - Video Making Software - Edit, Convert, Capture Screen, and more
2019
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≈ 21k–34k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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Free
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Video ProductionUtilities
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
SteamVR
unreleased
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≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
Free
87k reviews
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VRSoftware
Christmas Live Wallpaper
2021
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
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38 reviews
Positive
IndieCasual

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