How much revenue did Noble Fates make?

$253k–$681k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Noble Fates sell?

Q: How many copies did Noble Fates sell?

37k to 60k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 37k–60k; $253k–$681k after Steam's cut $460k–$1.0M before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Noble Fates and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Noble Fates's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–6.2M

best case 9.9M (RimWorld)

Games like Noble Fates

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–6.2M copies

≈ $38.6M–$76.4M after Steam's cut

from ~85k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (4 of 4) and Management (4 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 4 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Manor Lords 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	93k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Prison Architect 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $31.0M–$83.3M after Steam's cut $56.3M–$128.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	77k reviews Very Positive	SimulationBuilding