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How many copies did Noble Fates sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 37k–60k
$252k–$678k after Steam's cut $458k–$1.0M before the cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Noble Fates out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Noble Fates's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–5.8M
best case 9.7M (RimWorld)
The Base-Building genre

All 4 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 2.4M–5.8M copies
≈ $35.9M–$71.7M after Steam's cut
from ~81k reviews
Best case
≈ 7.4M–12.0M copies
RimWorld · ≈ $71.1M–$191.2M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Base-Building (4 of 4) and Management (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.5M–$63.2M after Steam's cut $42.7M–$97.2M before the cut
$39.99
89k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$71.1M–$191.2M after Steam's cut $129.3M–$294.2M before the cut
$34.99
243k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 884k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.2M before the cut
$29.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Prison Architect
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$28.2M–$75.7M after Steam's cut $51.2M–$116.5M before the cut
$29.99
74k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.