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How many copies did ABC Flappy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ABC Flappy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ABC Flappy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–16k
best case 65k (Proverbs)
Games like ABC Flappy

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–16k copies

≈ $1k–$20k after Steam's cut

from ~83 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Proverbs at ≈ 50k–81k copies, ≈ $123k–$332k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 190.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Clicker (8 of 8) and Collectathon (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Clicker, priced around $9.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
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ExplorationClicker
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12x vs typical
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ExplorationClicker
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2025
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
3.9x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before Steam's cut
$8.99
321 reviews
Very Positive
ClickerCollectathon
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2022
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≈ 2k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
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62 reviews
Very Positive
ClickerCasual
Proverbs
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
24x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$123k–$332k after Steam's cut $224k–$510k before Steam's cut
$8.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualPuzzle
Good puzzle: Castles
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Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
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CasualEducation
IN THE BUILDING: HAMSTERS
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$638–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$1.99
47 reviews
Positive
Side ScrollerExploration

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.