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How many copies did Merge Hero sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 843–1k
$229–$617 after Steam's cut $417–$949 before Steam's cut
from 34 reviews (Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Merge Hero and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Merge Hero's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 578–1k
best case 29k (Nomad Idle)
Games like Merge Hero

A typical game among these

≈ 578–1k copies

≈ $447–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~25 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Nomad Idle at ≈ 22k–36k copies, ≈ $60k–$162k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 631.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Idler (8 of 8) and Clicker (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Clicker, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry Casual + Class-Based + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

One Life Clicker
2023
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$231–$620 after Steam's cut $420–$954 before Steam's cut
$1.99
17 reviews
Mixed
ClickerIdler
Nomad Idle
2025
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$60k–$162k after Steam's cut $110k–$250k before Steam's cut
$9.99
886 reviews
Mixed
IdlerClicker
Idle Battle RPG
2024
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $990–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
20 reviews
Mixed
RPGIdler
The Candle
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$4.99
83 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationTime Management
Minutescape
2025
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before Steam's cut
$5.99
565 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyClicker
Idle Vikings Clicker
2022
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$196–$527 after Steam's cut $356–$810 before Steam's cut
$0.99
29 reviews
Mixed
IdlerClicker
Idle Hero
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$277–$744 after Steam's cut $503–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
41 reviews
Mixed
RPGIdler
Stonerill
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
$199.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
SimulationHidden Object

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