How much revenue did LunarLux make?

$61k–$163k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did LunarLux sell?

Q: How many copies did LunarLux sell?

11k to 18k copies, based on its 445 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 11k–18k; $61k–$163k after Steam's cut $110k–$251k before Steam's cut; from 445 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LunarLux and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LunarLux's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.5M

best case 6.9M (NieR:Automata™)

Games like LunarLux

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.5M copies

≈ $5.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NieR:Automata™ at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Female Protagonist (7 of 8) and Hack and Slash (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Female Protagonist, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry JRPG + Great Soundtrack + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
CrossCode 2018	Est. copies ≈ 562k–914k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Action RPGPixel Graphics
NieR:Automata™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	154k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CyberpunkVisual Novel
Bright Memory: Infinite 2021	Est. copies ≈ 990k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	40k reviews Very Positive	ActionFemale Protagonist
STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight - Jedi Academy™ 2009	Est. copies ≈ 875k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$9.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionSci-fi
Resident Evil Revelations 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.3M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	19k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAction
ICEY 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	28k reviews Very Positive	ActionFemale Protagonist
Bright Memory 2020	Est. copies ≈ 821k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$7.99	33k reviews Very Positive	Female ProtagonistFPS