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How big is Lonely Knight?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 3k–5k
from 116 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lonely Knight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lonely Knight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 66–293
best case 7k (Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew)
Games like Lonely Knight

A typical game among these

≈ 66–293 copies

≈ $120–$791 after Steam's cut

from ~5 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew at ≈ 5k–9k copies, ≈ $20k–$55k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 52 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Fighter (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Fighter + Action-Adventure, priced around $13. The breakout hits carry RPG + Adventure + Beat 'em up; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
37x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$18k–$47k after Steam's cut $32k–$73k before Steam's cut
$13.99
185 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Firelight Fantasy: Resistance
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
40x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
$11.99
201 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Tar Alterra Adventure Game
2021
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$55–$147 after Steam's cut $100–$226 before Steam's cut
$3.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
MedievalDemons
Dragon Simulator Multiplayer
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
22x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$919–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$0.99
111 reviews
Mostly Positive
DragonsAction-Adventure
Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
43x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20k–$55k after Steam's cut $37k–$84k before Steam's cut
$13.99
213 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Forgiveness
2024
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$899 before Steam's cut
$3.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
ActionAdventure
Captains & Dungeons
2021
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut
$4.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
3D FighterMystery Dungeon
Dark Days : Devil Hunt
2023
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$12.99
12 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure

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