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How many copies did Cats Love Boxes sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–19k
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut
from 460 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cats Love Boxes and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Cats Love Boxes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 432k–4.1M
best case 3.7M (Planet Zoo)
Games like Cats Love Boxes

A typical game among these

≈ 432k–4.1M copies

≈ $2.2M–$39.4M after Steam's cut

from ~42k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Hack and Slash (2 of 4), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Planet Zoo at ≈ 2.8M–4.6M copies, ≈ $34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (2 of 4) and Action RPG (1 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $45.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BattleBlock Theater®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Planet Zoo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut $63.4M–$144.3M before Steam's cut
$44.99
98k reviews
Very Positive
Cat Quest II
2019
Est. copies
≈ 209k–339k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$860k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureExploration
Cat Quest
2017
Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRPG

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