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How big is Deceit 2?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 171k–277k
from 7k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deceit 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deceit 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–147k
best case 4.2M (Deceit)
Games like Deceit 2

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–147k copies

≈ $8k–$158k after Steam's cut

from ~921 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Deceit at ≈ 3.2M–5.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 105 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Social Deduction (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Social Deduction.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Deceit
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
100x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Mostly Positive
PvPMultiplayer
In Silence
2021
Est. copies
≈ 296k–482k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$815k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Sinister Night
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
$9.99
172 reviews
Mixed
HorrorMultiplayer
DON'T GET GOT
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$4.99
56 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessHorror
Sinister Night 2
2025
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$138k–$370k after Steam's cut $250k–$569k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessMultiplayer
MACE: Mapinguari's Temple
2022
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$646–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
19 reviews
Positive
Social DeductionMultiplayer
BACKROOMS: APPREHENSION
2025
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessPvP
DreadHaunt
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
$19.99
53 reviews
Mixed
HorrorOnline Co-Op

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