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How many copies did The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki Ⅱ -CRIMSON SiN- sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–41k
$416k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $757k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki Ⅱ -CRIMSON SiN- and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki Ⅱ -CRIMSON SiN- 's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–18k
best case 56k (The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki)
Games like The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki Ⅱ -CRIMSON SiN-

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–18k copies

≈ $5k–$423k after Steam's cut

from ~52 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki at ≈ 43k–70k copies, ≈ $591k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 480.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (8 of 8) and JRPG (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Interactive Fiction, priced around $50.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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AdventureRPG
The Legend of Heroes: Kai no Kiseki -Farewell, O Zemuria-
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20x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
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JRPGChoose Your Own Adventure
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≈ 9k–15k
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Early AccessJRPG
The Legend of Heroes: Kuro no Kiseki
2022
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
33x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
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Very Positive
RPGJRPG

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