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How many copies did Astrofall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$112 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astrofall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astrofall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 57–439
best case 1k (Super Shooter)
Games like Astrofall

A typical game among these

≈ 57–439 copies

≈ $115–$559 after Steam's cut

from ~6 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Super Shooter at ≈ 843–1k copies, ≈ $925–$2k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 17 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (8 of 8) and 3D Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Sci-fi, priced around $4.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STRAYLIGHT
2023
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$19.99
24 reviews
Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
ChronoTecture: The Eprologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$182 after Steam's cut $125–$280 before Steam's cut
$9.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
ExplorationFPS
Fizik
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut
$2.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Super Shooter
2022
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$925–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$3.99
34 reviews
Positive
SpaceRace
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$112 before Steam's cut
$3.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
RacingSpace
Cosmotica
2022
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$68–$181 after Steam's cut $123–$279 before Steam's cut
$0.99
10 reviews
Positive
ActionPlatformer
Dimensional Dexterity
2023
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$47–$127 after Steam's cut $86–$195 before Steam's cut
$0.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Lofirunner
2025
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$96–$257 after Steam's cut $175–$396 before Steam's cut
$6.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Indie3D Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.