How much revenue did Lucky Goal make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lucky Goal sell?

Q: How many copies did Lucky Goal sell?

893 to 1k copies, based on its 36 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 893–1k; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 36 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lucky Goal and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lucky Goal's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–3.9M

best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)

Games like Lucky Goal

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–3.9M copies

from ~119k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and Football (Soccer) (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Competitive. The breakout hits carry Racing + Online Co-Op + Football (American); a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
FIFA 22 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	120k reviews Very Positive	Football (Soccer)Sports
eFootball™ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	119k reviews Mixed	Football (Soccer)Free to Play
Rocket League® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 28.3M–46.0M 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	580k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 21 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	56k reviews Mostly Positive	Football (American)Football (Soccer)
NBA 2K20 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M too small to compare SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	60k reviews Mixed	BasketballSports
EA SPORTS FC™ 24 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	111k reviews Mixed	Football (Soccer)Sports
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	150k reviews Mixed	Football (Soccer)Sports
EA SPORTS FC™ 25 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	107k reviews Mixed	SportsFootball (Soccer)