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How many copies did RivenWorld: The First Era sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
from 42 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid RivenWorld: The First Era and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including RivenWorld: The First Era's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 367k–817k
best case 2.3M (Far Cry® Primal)
Games like RivenWorld: The First Era

A typical game among these

≈ 367k–817k copies

≈ $3.7M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Far Cry® Primal at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $14.2M–$38.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Survival (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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MMORPGMedieval
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MMORPGOpen World Survival Craft
Reign Of Kings
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≈ 724k–1.2M
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Open World Survival CraftSurvival
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≈ 153k–249k
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Open World Survival CraftOpen World
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≈ 437k–710k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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BuildingOpen World Survival Craft
Life is Feudal: Your Own
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Est. copies
≈ 589k–957k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut
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Open World Survival CraftMedieval
Dark and Light
2017
Est. copies
≈ 407k–662k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Mixed
Open WorldSurvival
Far Cry® Primal
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.2M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival

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