How much revenue did 10,000,000 make?

$206k–$553k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did 10,000,000 sell?

Q: How many copies did 10,000,000 sell?

150k to 244k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 150k–244k; $206k–$553k after Steam's cut $374k–$851k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 10,000,000 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 10,000,000's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 242k–650k

best case 3.3M (Mirror)

Games like 10,000,000

A typical game among these

≈ 242k–650k copies

≈ $963k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Match 3 (8 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Nudity + Mature, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Nudity + Mature + Sexual Content; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Bejeweled® 3 2010	Est. copies ≈ 516k–838k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleCasual
Hell Girls 2017	Est. copies ≈ 135k–219k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentAnime
HuniePop 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 5.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	NudityMature
Gems of War - Puzzle RPG 2014	Est. copies ≈ 606k–984k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMatch 3
The Legend of Bum-Bo 2019	Est. copies ≈ 171k–278k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $705k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-liteIndie
Zuma Deluxe 2006	Est. copies ≈ 433k–703k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Match 3Puzzle
Zuma's Revenge! 2009	Est. copies ≈ 224k–364k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $307k–$826k after Steam's cut $559k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$4.99	4k reviews Very Positive	CasualAction
Mirror 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.1M 13x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$1.99	84k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity