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How many copies did Paw Paw Destiny sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 223–363
$919–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 9 reviews (9 user reviews)
Only 9 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paw Paw Destiny and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paw Paw Destiny's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–24k
best case 136k (Animal Shelter)
Games like Paw Paw Destiny

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–24k copies

≈ $8k–$45k after Steam's cut

from ~478 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Animal Shelter at ≈ 103k–168k copies, ≈ $568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 53 reviews in their first month; the range was 24 to 601.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cats (8 of 8) and Dog (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dog + Life Sim, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Purrfect Apawcalypse: Love at Furst Bite
2021
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$129k before Steam's cut
$4.99
914 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureVisual Novel
Purrfect Apawcalypse: Purrgatory Furever
2021
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
$5.99
403 reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureVisual Novel
Purrfect Apawcalypse: Patches' Infurno
2021
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before Steam's cut
$6.99
471 reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureVisual Novel
FIND ALL 2: Middle Ages
2022
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$1.99
485 reviews
Very Positive
Hidden ObjectCasual
FIND ALL
2021
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$0.99
678 reviews
Very Positive
Hidden ObjectCasual
Animal Shelter
2022
Est. copies
≈ 103k–168k
8.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
DogLife Sim
JQ: dogs & cats
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$0.99
155 reviews
Very Positive
TriviaPuzzle
Pets at Work
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$2.99
150 reviews
Very Positive
Local Co-OpPuzzle-Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.