How much revenue did Death Must Die make?

$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Death Must Die sell?

Q: How many copies did Death Must Die sell?

541k to 879k copies, based on its 22k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 541k–879k; $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut; from 22k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Death Must Die and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Death Must Die's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1000k–3.4M

best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)

Games like Death Must Die

A typical game among these

≈ 1000k–3.4M copies

≈ $4.5M–$10.1M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 23k to 129k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (4 of 4) and Bullet Hell (4 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5.
When they shipped: 3 of the 4 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Vampire Survivors 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6.6M–10.7M 6.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	267k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Halls of Torment 2024	Est. copies ≈ 793k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$6.66	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor 2025	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before Steam's cut	$12.99	49k reviews Very Positive	DwarfAction Roguelike
Soulstone Survivors 2025	Est. copies ≈ 668k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell